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September 10, 2017

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Review

"Masterful. . . . Rarely does a study of gross domestic product (GDP) and growth sizzle with such wit and acuity, but Financial Times editor David Pilling manages the feat." —Nature“Engaging and enlightening, The Growth Delusion explains not only why the emperor has no clothes, but why he wasn’t really the emperor in the first place.” —David Mitchell, author of Cloud Atlas"The Fed needs to read this economics book.” —Forbes“It’s not often, as in ‘never,’ that I’ve been able to recommend a book about economic measurement that’s both important and downright entertaining. Yet, in The Growth Delusion that’s precisely what author David Pilling provides.” —Jared Bernstein, The Washington Post“Engaging and fast-paced. . . . A wonderfully cosmopolitan survey.” —Adam Tooze, The Guardian"Briskly and engagingly, David Pilling alerts us to our impoverished sense of reality in an age that has sacrificed quality to quantity. The Growth Delusion should be read by everyone who wants to make sense of the political earthquakes of our time." —Pankaj Mishra, author of Age of Anger"David Pilling is a witty, well-informed, and well-traveled guide to our obsession with growth, even when it is poorly defined or fails to measure what we care about. He appreciates what growth has done for so many, but his skepticism about GDP—and its alternatives—is an invaluable primer as we try to do better. If he sometimes makes fun of measurement, he also makes measurement fun. A real achievement." —Angus Deaton, Winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics“The Growth Delusion goes straight to the heart of the matter. . . . With the eye of a seasoned journalist, Pilling colourfully captures why it is that GDP is such a quirky—some might say downright misleading—statistic.” —Felix Martin, The Financial Times“An informative and sometimes humorous book. . . . When it comes to the economy, Pilling argues, officials and leaders should pay a little more attention to quality and a little less to quantity.” —Foreign Affairs“An excellent and timely book which should be mandatory reading for policymakers, economists, investors, and, yes, journalists. It exposes the folly of our reliance on a narrow concept of economics as a sign of well-being—and does this in a lively, well written, and easy-to-understand way that draws on Pilling's long career around the world. Most important of all, it offers a series of sensible ideas about how to improve our sense of economics—and embrace better yardsticks to measure the world.” —Gillian Tett, author of The Silo Effect"If you thought that GDP did not necessarily translate into increased welfare, David Pilling shows convincingly why you were right. One of the Financial Times's most brilliant columnists, Pilling has produced a book that will become a classic." —Jagdish Bhagwati, author of Why Growth Matters "A timely warning about how fast the global economy is speeding towards a range of dangerous roadblocks—climate change, populism, financial crises." —The Times Literary Supplement“In The Growth Delusion, Pilling makes an important yet complicated subject accessible to experts and non-experts alike. The book offers a most insightful and at times witty guide to the essential question: what precisely is economic growth for, and how can it be harnessed to improve the lives of people in poor countries as well as rich ones?” —Kofi Annan, former Secretary-General of the UN

About the Author

David Pilling is an associate editor at The Financial Times, where he has reported on business, economics, and politics from London, Chile, Argentina, Tokyo, and Hong Kong. He is currently the Africa editor, based in London.

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Product details

Paperback: 304 pages

Publisher: Tim Duggan Books; Reprint edition (January 29, 2019)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0525572511

ISBN-13: 978-0525572510

Product Dimensions:

5.2 x 0.6 x 8 inches

Shipping Weight: 7.8 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.3 out of 5 stars

20 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#315,210 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Good introduction to the history of GDP and challenges of measuring this commonly used economics term. Interesting it often doesn't count alot of the services and intangible jobs, caretaking by a family member or volunteer, or anything that isn't sold or paid for, or in some instances, education, arts, gov't services. And it can be manipulated as a political tool. 3% GDP growth maybe sign of a healthy economy, but alot of us are not going to feel the benefits in health or quality of life. Especially if these are not part of the calculation.

This is one of those books where if you're totally new to the subject you may enjoy it, but if you already know something about it you may be gritting your teeth from time to time (or often). With its breezy style it's something like a Jamie Oliver 30-minute meal rendition of an ethnic dish: cheerfully and briskly explained; full of shortcuts; a bit sloppy in the presentation; fundamentally British cuisine, no matter where the dish is supposed to be from; but kind of OK tasting, provided you've never eaten the real thing. For a reader with more background in economics, though, this book adds nothing new to the already huge literature on the defects of GDP and how it might be fixed or replaced. Its argument is weakened by a failure to deal properly with finance, among other issues. And there is a major inconsistency between one of the book's premises and its concluding recommendations.The title of this book doesn't really reflect its contents. You can tell from the word "delusion" that the book is a critique, but DP's target is GDP, not economic growth: "The aim of this book is not to declare war on growth. Some will fault it for that. Rather, it is to show what is wrong with our measurement of growth in the hope that we can knock it from pedestal" (@US11-12/UK13-14). At this point in the text, it's a little ambiguous as to what the pronoun "it" in the quoted sentence refers to: growth or the measurement, GDP. Compounding the confusion is DP's footnote on page 1, which states "GDP growth is synonymous with growth." But if I correctly understood the bulk of the book, the "pedestal" seems to be our reliance on GDP *alone* as a guide to policy. DP's bottom line seems to be:(1) Growth in production and consumption are fine for now, and(2) GDP remains a useful metric of the above, but(3) GDP doesn't mean what we think it means, for several reasons, including:-- It's more approximate than you think,-- It undercounts good stuff, like innovation and domestic work;-- It overcounts bad stuff like disease and disaster recovery;-- It reflects neither the value of the damage we do to natural assets (the environment, biodiversity, etc.), nor the value of what we do to rehabilitate them;-- Governments can mess around with what it counts and what it doesn't.(4) Consequently, we should be using additional metrics alongside GDP instead of GDP uniquelyAll in all, both the diagnosis and the prescription in this book are pretty similar to those published in the 2009 Stiglitz-Sen-Fitoussi report, which had been commissioned a year earlier by then-French President Nicolas Sarkozy. The report was issued in book form as Mismeasuring Our Lives: Why GDP Doesn't Add Up. DP does cite this work, but only for the words of President Sarkozy. Most chapters of his own book cover the various facets of item (3) above. Some of DP's proposals for item (4) include GDP per capita (which actually already is commonly used), median income, the Gini coefficient for income inequality (also common in international comparisons), net domestic product (taking into account depreciation of assets), well-being, and "CO2 levels" (which DP seems to conflate with CO2 emissions, though they're not the same thing). These proposals occupy less than 10 pages in the last chapter of the book.DP does provide a more novel contribution in the middle section of the book, where he draws on his professional in-country experience to discuss GDP and development in Africa, India and China. Plus, since he's a Financial Times journalist of long standing, his treatment of the subject is much more lively and easy to read than a book by academic economists. I also appreciated his skepticism about the "Gross National Happiness" of Bhutan, and his criticism of some typical journalistic clichÃ©s about Japan's economy.This book seems to continue a trend for a short book about GDP to appear every couple of years, in each case written by a British author for the "general reader," meaning especially someone who reads The Economist or the FT. These include Diane Coyle's GDP: A Brief but Affectionate History (2014) and Ehsan Masood's The Great Invention: The Story of GDP and the Making and Unmaking of the Modern World (2016). Of these, the present book is the best of the lot, especially because DP adopts a more critical attitude than the others (even if his criticisms don't go as deep as I might have preferred).There's also plenty of sand in this salad -- or even a whole rubber tomato. I'll focus on the following aspects: the book's excessive selectivity in presenting certain topics; its inconsistent and hasty readings of its own sources; a crippling omission from the book's definition of the economy; and a more global inconsistency between the beginning and end of the book.(A) Overly selective:I understand well that a popularization can't go into the same depth of detail as a more academic book. But imagine a guidebook to Manhattan architecture that only had photos of the ground floor of the most famous buildings. Or imagine a guide to food in Japan that only talks about sushi (if you've ever visited Japan you'll know what a tiny piece of the food universe that is here). Some of this book's omissions are almost as radical. The following examples are illustrative, not exhaustive.Chapter 12 is about happiness and its relation to policy. DP mainly focuses on using peoples' subjective happiness as a guide for public policy. This is the approach favored by one scholar whom he's interviewed on the subject of happiness (Sir Richard Layard). You'd never know that there's an entirely different and more "objective" take on happiness in the policy arena. It's called the "capabilities approach," and is based on the ideas of Aristotle, Nobel economist Amartya Sen, and Chicago philosopher Martha Nussbaum. It has numerous fans in academia and government, one of its benefits being that it's more difficult for politicians to manipulate cynically. The French report mentioned above has a lot more about this than about subjective happiness (maybe not surprisingly, given Sen's role in writing it). But even though DP cites the report, the capabilities approach is ignored here.Next, sustainability: Chapter 11 outlines a couple of approaches to placing a monetary value on the world's natural resources, and in particular the "services" they render to us humans. As DP tells it, the World Bank uses a very strange approach where "natural capital," "produced capital, and "intangible capital" are all equivalent, and can be interchanged among each other -- so that it would be fine to exchange all the fish in the sea (slight exaggeration: DP just mentions salmon, @187/225) for courtrooms, for example. What DP doesn't tell you is that this isn't just the World Bank's kooky idiosyncrasy, but that it's the dominant view of sustainability in mainstream economics. This viewpoint is called "weak sustainability," and it's the brainchild of an MIT economist named Robert Solow who, in addition to being one of the most influential environmental economists ever, got a Nobel Prize for his 1956 theory of economic growth, which is still taught in every graduate economics program in the world. (Despite his relevance to the topic, Solow's never mentioned in this book.) Certainly, weak sustainability seems like a messed-up idea -- but wouldn't you be more worried about how messed-up it is if you knew that *most economists* think it's cool, not just the World Bank?Also relating to the environment, DP simply states as fact that "One of the patterns of industrial growth has been that in the early stages of development, countries pollute. Then, as they grow richer and more technologically advanced, they clean up" (@150/180). This is a dogma promoted by, among others, Partha Dasgupta, an economist DP interviews in a later chapter. (Dasgupta co-wrote an essay about it that's a standard reference in environmental econ textbooks.) To be fair, DP does also mention that often wealthier countries simply outsource their pollution to poorer countries when the latter take over as manufacturers. But what he omits to mention is that the "pattern" he cites, which is known in the trade as the "environmental Kuznets curve," seems to hold only for certain types of pollutants. Soil contamination, for example, doesn't follow that pattern. Neither do greenhouse gases, which rise, then decline, and then start rising again, as per capita GDP increases further. (I won't dwell on DP's recitation of Jared Diamond's oft-repeated fable about the demise of Easter Island's trees and culture (@164-165/197-199). In recent years that theory has been thoroughly discredited: contra Diamond, the islanders didn't need to cut down trees to move the statues, and the real precipitants of the decline seems to have been rats and diseases arriving with foreign visitors. See Hunt & Lipo's 2011 The Statues that Walked: Unraveling the Mystery of Easter Island.)Finally, an example from the history of GDP itself: DP relies on an unpublished 2011 doctoral thesis by Benjamin Mitra-Kahn that details how Simon Kuznets, popularly credited as the inventor of GNP (predecessor of GDP), actually had in mind to make GNP something very different from what we now use. According to Mitra-Kahn, it was Kuznets's colleagues at the Bureau of Economic Affairs, along with the great English economist John Maynard Keynes, who are responsible for crafting an indicator like what we use today. This narrative was new to me, so actually this book was helpful in bringing it to my attention (though no thanks to DP's endnote, which neglects to mention that the thesis can easily be downloaded from the Internet). In telling the story of how GNP got its current form in the UK and US during the early 1940s, Mitra-Kahn doesn't need to explain how GNP became such an important instrument of policy -- his story ends before then. Unfortunately, DP doesn't explain it either. He leaves the reader with the impression that once the form of GNP was settled, increasing it became every country's top priority.(B) Hasty reading of sourcesThe way GNP/GDP got onto its "pedestal" wasn't at all as simple as suggested in the previous paragraph. DP could have told you that himself if he'd made deeper use of a book that he cites elsewhere just for a clever remark: Lorenzo Fioramonti's Gross Domestic Problem: The Politics Behind the World's Most Powerful Number (Economic Controversies). Fioramonti details the role of the Soviet A-bomb, Chinese revolution, and Korean War in leading President Truman to turn the US toward full production, and GNP into a tool of competition. Other books describing the role of the Cold War in the rise of GNP include Robert Collins's More: The Politics of Economic Growth in Postwar America and H.W. Arndt's The Rise and Fall of Economic Growth: A Study in Contemporary Thought. Not only does DP seem not to have read these, but he doesn't mention the Cold War anywhere in the book.The book also misreads Mitra-Kahn's text. According to DP, Simon Kuznets wanted "to squeeze all human activity into a single number" (@22/26); here DP alludes to, but does not properly cite, Kuznets's 1933 article "National Income" in the Encyclopedia of Social Sciences. But Mitra-Kahn's book explains how Kuznets actually was pushing a collection of *four* numbers (M-K @ 243), and Kuznets himself announces his intention to disaggregate national income into several metrics in the very article DP mentions.DP also asserts a couple of times that before the invention of GDP, the concept of "the economy" didn't really exist: "before then an economy was pretty much a cost saving," as illustrated in a Jane Austen quote (@8/10; see also @257/304). Yet the main point of Mitra-Kahn's dissertation is to show that such a concept of "the economy" arose already in the 17th Century (M-K @ 278-279). DP might also have tempered his assertion if he'd spent 2 minutes with Google's Ngram tool and run a search in French, rather than English. He'd have found several references to "l'Ã©conomie nationale" in the 19th Century, as in the Â« TraitÃ© d'Ã©conomie nationale Â» (Treatise on national economy, by C.H. Rau, 1839, translating from the German term 'Volkswirtschaft') and Â« Ã‰tudes sur l'Ã©conomie nationale de la Russie Â» (Studies on the national economy of Russia, by W. Besobrasof, 1883).(C) What is the economyThe rubber tomato in the book pops up in a footnote on the very first page: "For purposes of this book, unless otherwise stated, 'the economy' and 'GDP' are interchangeable terms since we define the economy by the size of its GDP" (@1n.* in both US and UK versions). In theory one *could* define the economy that way -- but that's not really how we do it. If you've ever heard a report in the news about the NASDAQ or FTSE or Nikkei index, you'll have a hint why.GDP relates only to the value of goods and services traded in a given period. Stocks and other securities and instruments traded on financial markets -- including bonds, commodity futures, options, other derivatives, and foreign exchange -- don't count as goods or services, though. Certainly, the fees and commissions you pay to your stock broker, or that a company pays to its financial advisers, are included in GDP: they're fees for services. But the value of the financial market trades themselves is *excluded* from GDP. (They're considered capital gains -- so the profit you make when you sell your house doesn't affect GDP, either, except to the extent you spend it on goods and services afterwards.)Now, this might seem like a very technical point -- except for the fact that the value of these financial market trades is much bigger than GDP. For about a decade, the aggregate value of trading on the world's stock markets alone has equalled or exceeded global GDP; and the aggregate value of trading on the NYSE and NASDAQ has been a multiple of US GDP since the Clinton Administration. Also for about a decade, the amount raised for new capital has been 1% or less of equity trading value -- so 99+% of that value has simply been gambling, without necessarily entering the real economy of goods and services. But equities are hardly the most important financial market: in 2016, the value of foreign exchange trading was *six times* global GDP.Paul Krugman recently had a column (2018 Feb 05) where he repeated the mantra, "The stock market is not the economy." That's true in the sense of it's not so relevant to the daily lives of most people, who live in the real economy of goods and services. But if you're thinking about the larger forces that shape our world, including the power to make decisions that shape our lives -- and the horrendous errors that shape them too, like those that precipitated the 2008 crash and that will precipitate the crashes to come -- you can't pretend the financial economy doesn't exist.DP doesn't mention anything about this at all. His only discussion of finance is in the context of the contribution of financial services (the aforementioned fees and commissions, and interest) to GDP (Chapter 4). In these terms, financial services were contributing a bit more than 10% to Britain's GDP around the time of the Lehman crash. That's small potatoes compared to what's happening on financial markets.Another thing worth knowing about capital gains is that rich people get the vast majority of them. In the US, roughly 49% of capital gains income goes to the top 0.1% of income earners. That's not the top 1% -- it's the top one one-thousandth of the population. This is a much less equal distribution than of salary income. Moreover, as Thomas Piketty showed in his 2014 book "Capital in the 21st Century," the richer you are, the better your returns on investment in financial markets. Someone who can spend $100 million a year on financial advice will generally get much higher percentage returns than someone whose entire investment portfolio is worth $100 million. (Since DP writes for the Financial Times, he's perhaps allergic to Piketty -- in any case, Piketty isn't mentioned in this book, either.)The upshot of this tomato is that although the book attempts to link GDP into a narrative that includes finance and inequality, it can't possibly give a true picture of the linkage. If you're super-rich, there's much more money to be made in the financial economy than in the real economy. News about GDP may affect financial markets -- but more in the sense of rolling the dice in the casino than in any more fundamental way.(D) A larger inconsistencyA closing observation: In the book's introductory chapter, DP criticizes GDP as being something only experts can understand (@9ff/11ff). Yet in the concluding chapter, he advocates having several additional metrics alongside of GDP. How is that supposed to make the economy more intelligible to non-experts? Is it easier for people to understand a bunch of numbers, or just one? Wouldn't grounding public discourse about policy in more qualitative terms be a step more in the right direction?Especially in wealthy countries like Japan and Germany, where the population is aging and declining in number, there are better -- and more qualitative -- goals than growth that should be the guiding stars of policy. Of course, shifting to a more democratically intelligible discourse about policy obviously entails politics as well as economics -- and, alas, politics is yet another topic not discussed much in this book.***In sum, this isn't at all the worst book you could pick for learning something about GDP. But just as you can't really make a Mexican mole poblano as a 30-minute meal (nor even in the 1 hour 50 minutes Jamie gives it on his website), this book won't really give you an adequate understanding of the issues around future economic growth.

Pulling gets to the point with very little data. A simple read for a novice reader. Not academia quality.

An eminently readable book, Growth Delusion by David Pilling covers it all. With admirable British wit, David reveals who invented the term GDP, and how it became a boastful prime economic index for measuring a countryâ€™s progress, while ignoring the welfare of the individual, society, and natureâ€™s environment. The author deserves high praise, and the book should be required reading for all college students and those concerned with the economy-environment nexus. â€“Mohan K. Wali, Professor Emeritus, The Ohio State University

Best book on economics since the Freako phenomenon began, Growth Delusion is eminently readable and quotable. In fact, I read at least half of it during day trips, as it's full of intriguing perspectives that can serve to initiate impassioned family discussions (no, I was not driving).Pilling starts by discussing the almighty GDP: its origins, its evolution, and its flaws. Despite pointing out that it agglomerates too much disparate information and tends to value activity that negatively impacts our lives (crime) over activity that promotes quality of life, he does not suggest abandoning it. Rather, he travels the world, collecting other measures of well-being, some of which aren't even attached to $$$ amounts. Concerned about global levels of pollution or individual happiness? Someone has created a scale to assess and track many of the qualities that we value in our day-to-day lives, including the Happy Planet Index (HPI) and the Genuine Progress Indicator (GPI), an adaptation of the GDP that considers income inequality, environmental benefits, and unpaid labor that benefits society."The point is," notes Pilling near the end of the book "indexes are self-referential. They send the signal you want them to send. You load them up with what you think is important, and the index tells you how you are doing."And also:"Statistics are not neutral...They are largely political. If we bother to measure something, it is because we think it is important and want to influence it."Takeaway: be skeptical, always, of any all-encompassing metrics. Dig a little deeper and find out what they comprise, and more importantly, what they omit. Growth is a delusion if it is simply a measure of pointless activity, especially if most of us feel as though our quality of life and access to essential amenities like clean air and health care are declining. Pilling offers a fresh and provocative look at a topic that affects everyone's life; dismal science it is not.

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Richard Evans hasnâ€™t exactly been the best husband and father. He sacrificed his wife and daughter for his art. In their place, the piano became his lover and his child. There is no room for imperfection and regrets. Until now.When he first was diagnosed with ALS, he refused to believe that fate could be so cruel. Heâ€™s far too young to lose both his music and his life. Now all he can hope for is that he can finally gain absolution from those he so carelessly cast aside.Karina left her native Poland because she wanted so much more from life than just being a wife and a mother. She wanted to explore music and find her own path. But that is exactly what she became when she fell in love with Richard.Her career and aspirations always took a backseat to his and after the birth of their daughter Grace, she completely forgot who she was. Their divorce was a strange mercy, but with a tragic blow from destiny, they are forced to come face to face with the frailties of love and healing power of forgiveness.I thought I knew what I was in for when I started reading Every Note Played, but I never expected how beautifully Lisa Genova could make me ache with only words.With characters that are both flawed and at times, needlessly cruel, she skillfully makes their longing and regret so tangible that I found myself experiencing all of the emotions right along with them.Itâ€™s heartbreaking in its honesty about all of the things taken for granted, clinical in its design and desperate in its search for mercy. And it will open your eyes to the fragile power of loveâ€¦

I have always been an avid reader and very seldom bother to rate a book I have read, as most of them are just so so and not worth my time and energy to write anything about them. I feel compelled to rate (AND RAVE!) about this book. I just wish I could give it more than five stars. Lisa Genova has been my favorite author ever since I came across her first book, "Still Alice". I have read every other book she has written, and just finished her latest, "Every Note Played". Not only is Dr. Genova a world famous doctor specializing in diseases and disorders of the brain, she is the best writer I have ever come across in over 60 years of reading. She does not just describe her characters. She has the incredible ability to actually take the reader into the very body, heart, soul and mind of her main characters. She gives the reader a clear concise look into what daily life is like for someone dealing with a horrific disease, as well as the roller coaster of emotions that the family and loved ones go through. I cannot recommend this author highly enough. One of my main fears is that some day she will stop writing, and I HOPE HOPE HOPE that never happens. I look forward to each book, and hope I can continue to do so for years to come.

Brief summary and review, no spoilers.This story is about a world-renowned pianist named Richard Evans who develops ALS in the prime of his career. He had been married to his equally talented pianist wife Karina, but they had divorced years earlier due to Richardâ€™s infidelities and other issues we learn about later on. He and Karina also had a daughter together; a girl named Grace who is currently away at college.Karina was born in Poland but immigrated to the United States and married Richard. Richard had grown up in the United States but had a difficult childhood gaining his fatherâ€™s approval. Karina is a gifted pianist, but she gave up her dream of being a jazz pianist both to raise their daughter Grace and to accommodate Richard and his career.Early on, we know that Karina and Richard are divorced and that this divorce was acrimonious. At the very start, we meet Richard as he is starting to notice a weakness to his precious fingers, and he is soon diagnosed with ALS.As the story proceeds, we witness Richardâ€™s physical deterioration from this devastating disease. We also see how he reunites with Karina and his daughter and what insights all three learn during this emotional and tragic time.If youâ€™ve never read Lisa Genova, youâ€™re in for a treat. In each book always tackles some medical calamity and is able to make the reader understand it and feel empathy for its sufferer. Still Alice, which was made into a movie was one of my favorite books that dealt with Alzheimerâ€™s.This is the third book of herâ€™s Iâ€™ve read and I have enjoyed them all. Ms. Genova is a neuroscientist and she is able to combine her medical knowlege with quality writing - not easy to do.This iis probably one of the best books about ALS I have ever read. As usual and as expected, the author really shines when she gets into the nitty-gritty about the effects of this disease on both the patient and on the family. ALS is truly one of the worst diseases you can get, and when you finish you will understand that.So why 4 stars instead of 5? Itâ€™s because the only problem I have with her novels is that as much as she excels with the illness narrations, the rest - dealing with the family issues - just donâ€™t work as well. Iâ€™m not sure I bought into those parts as being as three - dimensional as the ALS portions.Still, her books are always page-turners and I do recommend this.

I really liked Every Note Played by Lisa Genova. I had read Still Alice by L Genova and enjoyed that book. Genova did an excellent job of writing this book, so you felt like you were experiencing this yourself - particularly as the wife. Her descriptions were very realistic. I liked the title as it says a lot.It was a sad book because there were things that Richard wanted and needed to stay, but he was either scared or stubborn or unsure as to how to approach the person. One of the take aways from the book, is to not let things go too long. If something needs to be addressed, address it.The ending was very good.I appreciated Genova's 'Lisa's Call To Action' and her Acknowledgements. Reading those two chapters was as touching as the book.I highly recommend Every Note Played to readers who like: well written and researched fiction books, books with great endings and books that call for action.

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